Flint Mountain 2-3 Penrhyncoch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.6pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Mountain EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 40%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
3.12/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.96
+83% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flint Mountain
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Penrhyncoch
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
25.10.2025 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 1-4 HT 0-3 Flint Mountain Flint Mountain GALFAW
29.03.2025 Flint Mountain Flint Mountain 5-1 HT 1-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
25.03.2025 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 6-1 HT 3-1 Flint Mountain Flint Mountain GALFAW
POST-MATCH Flint Mountain vs Penrhyncoch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penrhyncoch edged past Flint Mountain 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Flint Mountain at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Flint Mountain had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Flint Mountain and 2.67 for Penrhyncoch.

What was the final score of Flint Mountain vs Penrhyncoch?

Flint Mountain 2-3 Penrhyncoch in the Wales - FAW Championship on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Mountain vs Penrhyncoch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flint Mountain win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Flint Mountain 43%, draw 25%, Penrhyncoch 32%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Flint Mountain) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flint Mountain) ✓ BTTS Yes
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