Cardiff Draconians 0-4 Trefelin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.71
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
61%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
3%
X/2
30%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
18%
+0.3pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
61%
Away Win
61%
-0.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff Draconians EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Trefelin EU Bookmakers 66%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.59/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/0.37
-55% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +150%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
250 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff Draconians
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Trefelin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
04.03.2026 Trefelin Trefelin 3-1 HT 2-1 Cardiff Draconians GALFAW
29.11.2025 Cardiff Draconians 3-3 HT 2-3 Trefelin Trefelin GALWK
POST-MATCH Cardiff Draconians vs Trefelin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin swept aside Cardiff Draconians 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trefelin as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Trefelin led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cardiff Draconians and 3.00 for Trefelin.

What was the final score of Cardiff Draconians vs Trefelin?

Cardiff Draconians 0-4 Trefelin in the Wales - FAW Championship on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff Draconians vs Trefelin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Cardiff Draconians 18%, draw 21%, Trefelin 61%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trefelin), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trefelin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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