Guilsfield 4-4 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
40%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
25%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.3pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.2pp
40%
Away Win
50%
-10.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.5pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 55%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.33/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.42
-9% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guilsfield
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Holywell
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
16.08.2025 Holywell Holywell 4-1 HT 1-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
29.03.2025 Guilsfield 2-1 HT 1-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
09.11.2024 Holywell Holywell 2-1 HT 1-1 Guilsfield GALFAW
13.04.2024 Guilsfield 0-2 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
27.02.2024 Holywell Holywell 4-2 HT 3-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
11.02.2023 Holywell Holywell 4-0 HT 2-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Guilsfield vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guilsfield and Holywell couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holywell led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guilsfield and 2.83 for Holywell.

What was the final score of Guilsfield vs Holywell?

Guilsfield 4-4 Holywell in the Wales - FAW Championship on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guilsfield vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Guilsfield 31%, draw 29%, Holywell 40%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holywell) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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