Kitchee 2-1 Eastern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.32
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
11%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.81
No
42%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
31%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
71%
-1.3pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.2pp
11%
Away Win
12%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.7pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitchee EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern EU Bookmakers 15%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
3.55/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.94
+39% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +46%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
444 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kitchee
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Eastern
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2025 Kitchee Kitchee 1-0 HT 1-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
14.09.2025 Eastern Eastern 0-1 HT 0-0 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
29.08.2025 Eastern Eastern 0-1 HT 0-1 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
02.02.2025 Kitchee Kitchee 3-0 HT 3-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
18.01.2025 Eastern Eastern 1-1 HT 1-1 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
12.05.2024 Kitchee Kitchee 1-2 HT 0-1 Eastern Eastern HONFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kitchee
2-1
AWAY Eastern
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kitchee vs Eastern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitchee nicked a narrow win over Eastern 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kitchee as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kitchee had 62% of the ball to Eastern's 38%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kitchee had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kitchee and 0.50 for Eastern.

What was the final score of Kitchee vs Eastern?

Kitchee 2-1 Eastern in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitchee vs Eastern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitchee win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Kitchee 70%, draw 20%, Eastern 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitchee), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kitchee) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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