Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fagiano Okayama v V-Varen Nagasaki — Team-Based Signals
Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
V-Varen Nagasaki
JAP2
0-0
HT 0-0
Fagiano Okayama
JAP2
3-0
HT 1-0
V-Varen Nagasaki
JAP2
0-0
HT 0-0
Fagiano Okayama
JAP2
Fagiano Okayama 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki — Actual Match Statistics
V-Varen Nagasaki edged past Fagiano Okayama 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Fagiano Okayama at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 47% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 53%, shots finished 13-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fagiano Okayama had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 0.33 for V-Varen Nagasaki.
What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
Fagiano Okayama 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J1 League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 46%, draw 27%, V-Varen Nagasaki 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.