Police 2-1 KCB Nairobi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 21 Mar 2026

Police
2-1 HT 2-1
KCB Nairobi
📅21/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2025/2026

Police vs KCB Nairobi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.29
No
44%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.1pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
40%
+16.2pp
44%
BTTS No
60%
-16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Police v KCB Nairobi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Police EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY KCB Nairobi EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
1.07/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.83
-6% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Police vs KCB Nairobi Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Police
1W-3D-0L
AWAY KCB Nairobi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.01.2026 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi 0-0 HT 0-0 Police Police KEN
26.04.2025 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi 1-2 HT 1-1 Police Police KEN
26.11.2024 Police Police 1-1 HT 0-1 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi KEN
08.03.2022 Police Police 1-1 HT 1-0 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi KEN2
POST-MATCH Police vs KCB Nairobi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Police edged past KCB Nairobi 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Police as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Police had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Police and 0.75 for KCB Nairobi.

What was the final score of Police vs KCB Nairobi?

Police 2-1 KCB Nairobi in the Kenya - Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Police vs KCB Nairobi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Police win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Police 44%, draw 29%, KCB Nairobi 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Police), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Police) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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