KCB Nairobi vs Police Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KCB Nairobi v Police — Team-Based Signals
KCB Nairobi vs Police Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
KCB Nairobi
KEN2
Police edged past KCB Nairobi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (28% / 39% / 33%) promised a tight game; Police found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for KCB Nairobi and 1.00 for Police.
What was the final score of KCB Nairobi vs Police?
KCB Nairobi 1-2 Police in the Kenya - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KCB Nairobi vs Police?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split KCB Nairobi 28%, draw 39%, Police 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.