Nairobi City Stars 0-2 Shabana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.16
No
48%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.1pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nairobi City Stars EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabana EU Bookmakers 45%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -59% / -59%
0.49/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.51
-49% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
175 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nairobi City Stars
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shabana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
03.11.2024 Shabana Shabana 0-1 HT 0-1 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars KEN
POST-MATCH Nairobi City Stars vs Shabana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabana got the better of Nairobi City Stars 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shabana as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Nairobi City Stars vs Shabana?

Nairobi City Stars 0-2 Shabana in the Kenya - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nairobi City Stars vs Shabana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shabana win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nairobi City Stars 28%, draw 26%, Shabana 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shabana), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shabana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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