Kariobangi Sharks 1-2 Bandari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
21%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.7pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.7pp
21%
Away Win
27%
-5.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.6pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandari EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.40/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/0.80
+50% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Bandari
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
27.11.2024 Bandari Bandari 2-0 HT 1-0 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN
17.12.2021 Bandari Bandari 1-1 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
1-2
AWAY Bandari
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kariobangi Sharks vs Bandari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandari nicked a narrow win over Kariobangi Sharks 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kariobangi Sharks at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kariobangi Sharks had 48% of the ball to Bandari's 52%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bandari led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kariobangi Sharks and 1.50 for Bandari.

What was the final score of Kariobangi Sharks vs Bandari?

Kariobangi Sharks 1-2 Bandari in the Kenya - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kariobangi Sharks vs Bandari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kariobangi Sharks win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kariobangi Sharks 46%, draw 33%, Bandari 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kariobangi Sharks) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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