FA Siauliai II 1-4 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
60%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.18
Over 2.5
61%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+2.0pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.1pp
60%
Away Win
61%
-0.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
42%
-3.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
58%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 66%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.50/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/0.21
+52% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai II
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Atmosfera
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.08.2025 Atmosfera Atmosfera 4-1 HT 3-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
06.04.2025 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 1-2 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
05.10.2024 Atmosfera Atmosfera 2-3 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
19.05.2024 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 2-5 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
12.08.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 2-1 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai II vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera swept aside FA Siauliai II 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atmosfera as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Atmosfera led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for FA Siauliai II and 3.00 for Atmosfera.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai II vs Atmosfera?

FA Siauliai II 1-4 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai II vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai II 20%, draw 20%, Atmosfera 60%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atmosfera), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
21 Mar 2026
15:00 TransINVEST Vilnius vs BFA Analysis →
19:00 Ekranas vs Lietava Jonava Analysis →