TransINVEST Vilnius 1-0 BFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+4.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.8pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY BFA EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.43/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.70
-1% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
4W-0D-0L
AWAY BFA
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2025 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 3-0 HT 2-0 BFA BFA LIT1
17.05.2025 BFA BFA 1-2 HT 0-1 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
01.11.2023 BFA BFA 1-4 HT 0-1 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
27.05.2023 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 2-0 HT 0-0 BFA BFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
1-0
AWAY BFA
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 25
5 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs BFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransINVEST Vilnius edged past BFA 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 22% / 41%) promised a tight game; TransINVEST Vilnius found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, TransINVEST Vilnius had 44% of the ball to BFA's 56%, shots finished 7-25.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, TransINVEST Vilnius had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for TransINVEST Vilnius and 0.50 for BFA.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs BFA?

TransINVEST Vilnius 1-0 BFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs BFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 37%, draw 22%, BFA 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (BFA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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