Mladost Lucani 1-1 FK Partizan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.71
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
58%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+1.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
58%
Away Win
60%
-1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 64%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
1.28/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.13
-7% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +50%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
220 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.1
17.2 Crosses 16.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mladost Lucani
0W-1D-5L
AWAY FK Partizan
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.14 xG 2.28
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
234 Passes 552
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.10.2025 FK Partizan FK Partizan 3-0 HT 1-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
17.05.2025 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-4 HT 0-2 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
26.02.2025 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-0 HT 1-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
29.09.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-3 HT 1-2 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
12.05.2024 FK Partizan FK Partizan 3-0 HT 1-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
17.03.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
1-1
AWAY FK Partizan
0.70 xG 1.31
22% Ball Possession 78%
6 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 5
112 Passes 641
57% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 43
16 Crosses 35
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mladost Lucani and FK Partizan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FK Partizan at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 22% of the ball to FK Partizan's 78%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.70 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Partizan led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mladost Lucani and 2.67 for FK Partizan.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan?

Mladost Lucani 1-1 FK Partizan in the Serbia - Super League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 19%, draw 23%, FK Partizan 58%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Partizan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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