IFK Kumla 2-1 Säffle SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
25%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
43%
+7.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
25%
Away Win
31%
-5.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.8pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Säffle SK EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.13/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.46
+9% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Kumla
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Säffle SK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
08.10.2022 IFK Kumla 2-2 HT 1-0 Säffle SK Säffle SK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Kumla vs Säffle SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Kumla nicked a narrow win over Säffle SK 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had IFK Kumla as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of IFK Kumla vs Säffle SK?

IFK Kumla 2-1 Säffle SK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Kumla vs Säffle SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Kumla win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split IFK Kumla 50%, draw 24%, Säffle SK 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Kumla) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IFK Kumla) ✗ Under 2.5
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