Karlshamn 2-1 IFK Berga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlshamn EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Berga EU Bookmakers 48%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.65/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.15
+9% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -33%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlshamn
0W-2D-0L
AWAY IFK Berga
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
02.10.2021 IFK Berga IFK Berga 1-1 HT 0-0 Karlshamn İSÇ4
19.06.2021 Karlshamn 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Karlshamn vs IFK Berga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlshamn edged past IFK Berga 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Berga at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Karlshamn and 0.50 for IFK Berga.

What was the final score of Karlshamn vs IFK Berga?

Karlshamn 2-1 IFK Berga in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlshamn vs IFK Berga?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Berga win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Karlshamn 34%, draw 24%, IFK Berga 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IFK Berga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Berga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
21 Apr 2024
14:00 Varbergs GIF vs Qviding FIF Analysis →
14:00 Jarfalla vs Sandvikens AIK Analysis →
14:15 IFK Östersund vs IFK Lulea Analysis →
15:00 Savedalen vs Astrio Analysis →
15:00 IFK Kumla vs Säffle SK Analysis →
16:00 IK Tord vs Hittarps IK Analysis →