Jarfalla 4-1 Sandvikens AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarfalla EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandvikens AIK EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.83/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.05
+45% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarfalla
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Sandvikens AIK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
5 Corners 5
27.08.2023 Sandvikens AIK Sandvikens AIK 0-1 HT 0-1 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
29.04.2023 Jarfalla Jarfalla 2-1 HT 1-0 Sandvikens AIK Sandvikens AIK İSÇ4
10.09.2022 Sandvikens AIK Sandvikens AIK 1-1 HT 0-1 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
20.11.2021 Sandvikens AIK Sandvikens AIK 3-2 HT 1-1 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
04.09.2021 Jarfalla Jarfalla 4-0 HT 0-0 Sandvikens AIK Sandvikens AIK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Jarfalla vs Sandvikens AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarfalla cruised past Sandvikens AIK 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jarfalla as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Jarfalla had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jarfalla and 1.00 for Sandvikens AIK.

What was the final score of Jarfalla vs Sandvikens AIK?

Jarfalla 4-1 Sandvikens AIK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarfalla vs Sandvikens AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarfalla win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Jarfalla 51%, draw 24%, Sandvikens AIK 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jarfalla), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jarfalla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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