Savedalen 1-4 Astrio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
29%
-4.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Savedalen EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Astrio EU Bookmakers 49%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.17/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.33
-23% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Savedalen
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Astrio
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Astrio Astrio 1-2 HT 0-2 Savedalen Savedalen İSÇ4
22.06.2023 Savedalen Savedalen 1-2 HT 0-1 Astrio Astrio İSÇ4
24.09.2022 Savedalen Savedalen 2-5 HT 0-1 Astrio Astrio İSÇ4
14.08.2021 Astrio Astrio 0-1 HT 0-0 Savedalen Savedalen İSÇ4
11.07.2021 Savedalen Savedalen 0-1 HT 0-0 Astrio Astrio İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Savedalen vs Astrio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Astrio ran out comfortable winners over Savedalen 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Astrio as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Astrio led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Savedalen and 1.80 for Astrio.

What was the final score of Savedalen vs Astrio?

Savedalen 1-4 Astrio in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Savedalen vs Astrio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Astrio win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Savedalen 25%, draw 29%, Astrio 47%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Astrio), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Astrio) ✓ Over 2.5
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