Chaves vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chaves v Estoril — Team-Based Signals
Chaves vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Chaves
POR
0-2
HT 0-1
Chaves
POR
1-1
HT 1-0
Estoril
POR
1-1
HT 1-1
Chaves
POR2
0-2
HT 0-0
Estoril
POR2
2-0
HT 0-0
Estoril
POR2
Chaves 2-2 Estoril — Actual Match Statistics
Chaves and Estoril couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Chaves had 58% of the ball to Estoril's 42%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.14 to 0.98.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chaves and 1.33 for Estoril.
What was the final score of Chaves vs Estoril?
Chaves 2-2 Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chaves vs Estoril?
Before kick-off our model rated an Estoril win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chaves 35%, draw 27%, Estoril 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.