Famalicao vs Portimonense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Famalicao v Portimonense — Team-Based Signals
Famalicao vs Portimonense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Famalicao
POR
1-0
HT 0-0
Portimonense
POR
1-0
HT 0-0
Famalicao
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Famalicao
POR
1-1
HT 0-1
Portimonense
POK
0-3
HT 0-2
Portimonense
POR
Famalicao 2-2 Portimonense — Actual Match Statistics
Famalicao and Portimonense shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Famalicao at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Famalicao had 48% of the ball to Portimonense's 52%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 1.86 to 2.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portimonense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Famalicao and 1.17 for Portimonense.
What was the final score of Famalicao vs Portimonense?
Famalicao 2-2 Portimonense in the Portugal - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Famalicao vs Portimonense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Famalicao 48%, draw 27%, Portimonense 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.