Novi Pazar 0-1 Vozdovac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.5pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vozdovac EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
1.24/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.20
-7% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 70%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
22.0 Crosses 14.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Vozdovac
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.45 xG 0.91
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
262 Passes 288
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-2 HT 1-1 Vozdovac Vozdovac SIRP
02.10.2023 Vozdovac Vozdovac 1-0 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
26.04.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-1 HT 0-0 Vozdovac Vozdovac SIRP
23.10.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-0 HT 0-0 Vozdovac Vozdovac SIRP
08.07.2022 Vozdovac Vozdovac 1-0 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
14.12.2021 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-0 HT 0-0 Vozdovac Vozdovac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
0-1
AWAY Vozdovac
1.57 xG 1.24
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
405 Passes 182
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
36 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Vozdovac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vozdovac edged past Novi Pazar 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Novi Pazar at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 66% of the ball to Vozdovac's 34%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.57 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vozdovac led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Novi Pazar and 0.83 for Vozdovac.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Vozdovac?

Novi Pazar 0-1 Vozdovac in the Serbia - Super League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Vozdovac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 45%, draw 23%, Vozdovac 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Novi Pazar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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