Radnicki Nis 1-0 Radnik Surdulica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
-14.4pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.3pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+11.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 17%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +5%
1.61/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.20
-14% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +36%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
30.5 Crosses 14.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki Nis
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Radnik Surdulica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.23 xG 0.69
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
300 Passes 228
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 6
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.03.2024 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-3 HT 0-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
22.09.2023 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
27.04.2023 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
18.02.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
21.08.2022 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 1-3 HT 0-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
28.11.2021 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 3-0 HT 2-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki Nis
1-0
AWAY Radnik Surdulica
1.03 xG 0.18
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
321 Passes 283
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
37 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Radnicki Nis vs Radnik Surdulica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki Nis nicked a narrow win over Radnik Surdulica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Radnicki Nis as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Radnicki Nis had 53% of the ball to Radnik Surdulica's 47%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.03 to 0.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Radnicki Nis and 0.83 for Radnik Surdulica.

What was the final score of Radnicki Nis vs Radnik Surdulica?

Radnicki Nis 1-0 Radnik Surdulica in the Serbia - Super League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki Nis vs Radnik Surdulica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki Nis win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Radnicki Nis 51%, draw 24%, Radnik Surdulica 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnicki Nis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Radnicki Nis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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