Spartak Subotica 1-0 Javor Ivanjica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Javor Ivanjica EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.46/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.48
+21% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
19.0 Crosses 17.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Javor Ivanjica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.65 xG 1.32
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
294 Passes 184
74% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.04.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-0 HT 0-0 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica SIRP
12.11.2023 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
27.04.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 3-2 HT 1-1 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica SIRP
12.02.2023 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
14.08.2022 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-2 HT 2-1 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica SIRP
29.04.2021 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-2 HT 0-0 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
1-0
AWAY Javor Ivanjica
0.31 xG 0.89
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
276 Passes 326
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
7 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs Javor Ivanjica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Subotica nicked a narrow win over Javor Ivanjica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartak Subotica as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 46% of the ball to Javor Ivanjica's 54%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.31 to 0.89 — on chances, Javor Ivanjica could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Javor Ivanjica led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spartak Subotica and 1.50 for Javor Ivanjica.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Javor Ivanjica?

Spartak Subotica 1-0 Javor Ivanjica in the Serbia - Super League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Javor Ivanjica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Subotica win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 45%, draw 28%, Javor Ivanjica 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Subotica), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Subotica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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