Solihull Moors 3-2 Boston United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.68
Over
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.65
2-3
40%
1.73
4-5
17%
4.07
6+
9%
19.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.65 — our 34% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.7
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
15%
5.39
X/2
14%
5.92
X/X
15%
4.17
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
13%
4.29
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Solihull Moors EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston United EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.55/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.51
+9% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Solihull Moors
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Boston United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
26.12.2024 Boston United Boston United 0-1 HT 0-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
05.12.2015 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 0-1 HT 0-0 Boston United Boston United İCON
POST-MATCH Solihull Moors vs Boston United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Solihull Moors squeezed past Boston United 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Solihull Moors found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Solihull Moors and 0.50 for Boston United.

What was the final score of Solihull Moors vs Boston United?

Solihull Moors 3-2 Boston United in the England - National League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Solihull Moors vs Boston United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Solihull Moors win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Solihull Moors 38%, draw 27%, Boston United 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Solihull Moors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Solihull Moors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
21 Apr 2025
14:30 Woking vs Aldershot Town Analysis →
17:00 Rochdale vs AFC Fylde Analysis →
17:00 Sutton United vs Barnet Analysis →
17:00 Wealdstone vs Maidenhead United Analysis →
17:00 Forest Green Rovers vs Tamworth Analysis →
17:00 Braintree Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge Analysis →