Forest Green Rovers 3-0 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Apr 2025

Forest Green Rovers
3-0 HT 3-0
Tamworth
📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Forest Green Rovers vs Tamworth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.19
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.59
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
15%
4.51
X/2
8%
7.88
X/X
12%
4.99
2/1
9%
24.2
2/2
17%
6.05
2/X
8%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forest Green Rovers v Tamworth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.75/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.25
+8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
139 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 97 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Forest Green Rovers vs Tamworth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tamworth
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Passes 1
The Meetings
26.12.2024 Tamworth Tamworth 1-1 HT 0-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
15.03.2014 Tamworth Tamworth 1-2 HT 0-2 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
24.09.2013 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-2 HT 1-1 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
06.04.2013 Tamworth Tamworth 2-1 HT 2-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
09.10.2012 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-2 HT 0-2 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
06.12.2011 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 3-1 HT 2-1 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL

Forest Green Rovers 3-0 Tamworth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
3-0
AWAY Tamworth
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
3 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Tamworth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers ran out comfortable winners over Tamworth 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Forest Green Rovers as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Forest Green Rovers had 46% of the ball to Tamworth's 54%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tamworth led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 1.50 for Tamworth.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Tamworth?

Forest Green Rovers 3-0 Tamworth in the England - National League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Tamworth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 41%, draw 27%, Tamworth 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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