Wealdstone 1-1 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 27% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.31
1/2
9%
29.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
14%
5.23
X/2
9%
6.13
X/X
12%
5.13
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
14%
4.22
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 37%
+12% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.82/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.01
+28% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
50 · 96% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 56 · 96%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wealdstone
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Maidenhead United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Passes 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2024 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 3-1 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
06.02.2024 Wealdstone Wealdstone 0-1 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
26.12.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-2 HT 0-2 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
01.01.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-0 HT 0-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
26.12.2022 Wealdstone Wealdstone 3-2 HT 2-2 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
05.04.2022 Wealdstone Wealdstone 0-0 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wealdstone
1-1
AWAY Maidenhead United
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
0 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wealdstone and Maidenhead United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Wealdstone at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Wealdstone had 53% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 47%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wealdstone and 1.00 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Maidenhead United?

Wealdstone 1-1 Maidenhead United in the England - National League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wealdstone win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 41%, draw 28%, Maidenhead United 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Wealdstone), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wealdstone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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