Sutton United 1-3 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Apr 2025

Sutton United
1-3 HT 1-1
Barnet
📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Sutton United vs Barnet Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.34
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
49%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.97
Over 2.5
40%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.49
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
3.19
6+ Goals
8%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 33% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
10.6
1/2
8%
22.9
1/X
7%
19.3
X/1
9%
12.55
X/2
18%
3.93
X/X
10%
5.97
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
23%
1.85
2/X
11%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+7.1pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.5pp
49%
Away Win
63%
-13.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
47%
+13.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
53%
-13.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.1pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sutton United v Barnet — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 67%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
1.00/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.04
-11% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +1%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
148 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 87%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.4

Sutton United vs Barnet Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Barnet
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.12.2024 Barnet Barnet 3-3 HT 2-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
29.05.2021 Barnet Barnet 2-0 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
27.04.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 1-0 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
06.08.2019 Sutton United Sutton United 1-1 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
19.02.2019 Sutton United Sutton United 0-0 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
09.02.2019 Barnet Barnet 0-1 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL

Sutton United 1-3 Barnet — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
1-3
AWAY Barnet
55% Ball Possession 45%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
0 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet saw off Sutton United 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sutton United had 55% of the ball to Barnet's 45%, shots finished 5-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sutton United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sutton United and 1.00 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Barnet?

Sutton United 1-3 Barnet in the England - National League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 23%, draw 28%, Barnet 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
21 Apr 2025
14:30 Woking vs Aldershot Town Analysis →
17:00 Rochdale vs AFC Fylde Analysis →
17:00 Wealdstone vs Maidenhead United Analysis →
17:00 Forest Green Rovers vs Tamworth Analysis →
17:00 Braintree Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge Analysis →
17:00 Ebbsfleet United vs Southend United Analysis →