Ebbsfleet United 0-4 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 27% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.84
1/2
9%
21.55
1/X
6%
17.6
X/1
12%
11.05
X/2
19%
4.1
X/X
10%
6.01
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
20%
1.97
2/X
10%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+7.7pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
47%
Away Win
59%
-11.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 62%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.23/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.75
+7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +41%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
54 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 102 · 92%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Southend United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
0 Passes 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2024 Southend United Southend United 4-0 HT 2-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
29.03.2024 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
24.10.2023 Southend United Southend United 3-0 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
0-4
AWAY Southend United
45% Ball Possession 55%
1 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 7
0 Passes 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United ran out comfortable winners over Ebbsfleet United 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 45% of the ball to Southend United's 55%, shots finished 1-20.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Southend United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 2.67 for Southend United.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Southend United?

Ebbsfleet United 0-4 Southend United in the England - National League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 26%, draw 26%, Southend United 47%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
21 Apr 2025
14:30 Woking vs Aldershot Town Analysis →
17:00 Rochdale vs AFC Fylde Analysis →
17:00 Sutton United vs Barnet Analysis →
17:00 Wealdstone vs Maidenhead United Analysis →
17:00 Forest Green Rovers vs Tamworth Analysis →
17:00 Braintree Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge Analysis →