Southend United 4-0 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.93
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 26% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.75
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.55
X/1
15%
3.6
X/2
7%
14.4
X/X
12%
6.27
2/1
7%
23.0
2/2
8%
11.6
2/X
5%
19.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-9.2pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.0pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+6.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 17%
-16% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.61/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.51
-17% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
24.10.2023 Southend United Southend United 3-0 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
4-0
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
71% Ball Possession 29%
19 Total Shots 0
11 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 1
4 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United ran out comfortable winners over Ebbsfleet United 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Southend United had 71% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 29%, shots finished 19-0.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Southend United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Southend United and 0.50 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Ebbsfleet United?

Southend United 4-0 Ebbsfleet United in the England - National League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Southend United 56%, draw 24%, Ebbsfleet United 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ BTTS No
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