Tamworth 1-1 Forest Green Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Dec 2024

Tamworth
1-1 HT 0-1
Forest Green Rovers
📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Tamworth vs Forest Green Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.31
6+ Goals
8%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 31% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.82
1/2
12%
24.3
1/X
8%
15.05
X/1
7%
8.89
X/2
13%
4.15
X/X
15%
4.99
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.35
2/X
6%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
44%
Away Win
53%
-9.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tamworth v Forest Green Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 57%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.31/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/0.85
+13% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +34%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
185 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

Tamworth vs Forest Green Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
The Meetings
15.03.2014 Tamworth Tamworth 1-2 HT 0-2 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
24.09.2013 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-2 HT 1-1 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
06.04.2013 Tamworth Tamworth 2-1 HT 2-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
09.10.2012 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-2 HT 0-2 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
06.12.2011 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 3-1 HT 2-1 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
20.09.2011 Tamworth Tamworth 0-1 HT 0-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL

Tamworth 1-1 Forest Green Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
1-1
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
1 Passes 1
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Forest Green Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth and Forest Green Rovers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Forest Green Rovers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tamworth had 50% of the ball to Forest Green Rovers's 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tamworth and 1.50 for Forest Green Rovers.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Forest Green Rovers?

Tamworth 1-1 Forest Green Rovers in the England - National League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Forest Green Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 27%, draw 28%, Forest Green Rovers 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Forest Green Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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