Maidenhead United 3-1 Wealdstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Dec 2024

Maidenhead United
3-1 HT 1-0
Wealdstone
📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Maidenhead United vs Wealdstone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.25
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 31% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.83
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
17%
5.71
X/2
16%
5.49
X/X
11%
4.75
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
13%
3.63
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.5pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maidenhead United v Wealdstone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.16/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.30
-17% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
119 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 141 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Maidenhead United vs Wealdstone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wealdstone
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.02.2024 Wealdstone Wealdstone 0-1 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
26.12.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-2 HT 0-2 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
01.01.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-0 HT 0-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
26.12.2022 Wealdstone Wealdstone 3-2 HT 2-2 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
05.04.2022 Wealdstone Wealdstone 0-0 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
08.03.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-2 HT 0-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL

Maidenhead United 3-1 Wealdstone — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
3-1
AWAY Wealdstone
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
3 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Wealdstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United beat Wealdstone 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Maidenhead United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 47% of the ball to Wealdstone's 53%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wealdstone led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Maidenhead United and 1.17 for Wealdstone.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Wealdstone?

Maidenhead United 3-1 Wealdstone in the England - National League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Wealdstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 39%, draw 26%, Wealdstone 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidenhead United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidenhead United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
26 Dec 2024
18:00 Southend United vs Ebbsfleet United Analysis →
18:00 Tamworth vs Forest Green Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Altrincham vs Halifax Town Analysis →
18:00 Aldershot Town vs Woking Analysis →
18:00 Gateshead vs Hartlepool United Analysis →
18:00 Yeovil vs Eastleigh Analysis →