Aldershot Town 2-2 Woking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 32% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.01
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
11%
13.4
X/1
9%
4.83
X/2
13%
6.63
X/X
11%
4.88
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
12%
4.68
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.6pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Woking EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -20%
1.56/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.43
+3% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
111 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 106 · 93%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Woking
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.01.2024 Woking Woking 2-3 HT 1-2 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
26.12.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Woking Woking İBSL
01.01.2023 Woking Woking 4-1 HT 2-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
26.12.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Woking Woking İBSL
02.01.2022 Woking Woking 2-3 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
26.12.2021 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Woking Woking İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
2-2
AWAY Woking
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
1 Passes 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs Woking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town and Woking shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aldershot Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 53% of the ball to Woking's 47%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aldershot Town and 1.83 for Woking.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs Woking?

Aldershot Town 2-2 Woking in the England - National League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs Woking?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 41%, draw 28%, Woking 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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