Yeovil 2-2 Eastleigh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.81
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.73
6+ Goals
8%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 35% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.72
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.4
X/1
7%
4.29
X/2
10%
7.38
X/X
18%
4.57
2/1
10%
26.5
2/2
10%
5.78
2/X
8%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.5pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeovil EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.46/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.68
-10% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeovil
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Eastleigh
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2023 Yeovil Yeovil 1-0 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
13.09.2022 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-1 HT 0-1 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
12.02.2022 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-0 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
13.11.2021 Yeovil Yeovil 2-1 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
09.02.2021 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-0 HT 1-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
01.12.2020 Yeovil Yeovil 1-3 HT 0-2 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeovil
2-2
AWAY Eastleigh
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
2 Passes 2
POST-MATCH Yeovil vs Eastleigh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeovil and Eastleigh shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yeovil had 50% of the ball to Eastleigh's 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Yeovil and 1.00 for Eastleigh.

What was the final score of Yeovil vs Eastleigh?

Yeovil 2-2 Eastleigh in the England - National League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeovil vs Eastleigh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeovil win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Yeovil 40%, draw 31%, Eastleigh 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Yeovil) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
26 Dec 2024
18:00 Southend United vs Ebbsfleet United Analysis →
18:00 Tamworth vs Forest Green Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Altrincham vs Halifax Town Analysis →
18:00 Maidenhead United vs Wealdstone Analysis →
18:00 Aldershot Town vs Woking Analysis →
18:00 Gateshead vs Hartlepool United Analysis →