Ebbsfleet United 1-1 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 29 Mar 2024

Ebbsfleet United
1-1 HT 0-1
Southend United
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Ebbsfleet United vs Southend United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 31% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.28
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
11%
6.17
X/2
10%
5.01
X/X
11%
4.75
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
17%
3.2
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.1pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ebbsfleet United v Southend United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -4%
1.48/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.89
+7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +47%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Ebbsfleet United vs Southend United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Southend United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
24.10.2023 Southend United Southend United 3-0 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL

Ebbsfleet United 1-1 Southend United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
1-1
AWAY Southend United
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United and Southend United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 52% of the ball to Southend United's 48%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Southend United?

Ebbsfleet United 1-1 Southend United in the England - National League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 39%, draw 26%, Southend United 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ebbsfleet United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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