Barnet 3-3 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Dec 2024

Barnet
3-3 HT 2-1
Sutton United
📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Barnet vs Sutton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
9.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 28% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.9
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.3
X/1
13%
3.83
X/2
6%
12.1
X/X
14%
6.02
2/1
8%
22.1
2/2
14%
9.24
2/X
5%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+9.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barnet v Sutton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnet EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +17%
2.26/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.09
+19% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +63%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
161 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 146 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 4.3

Barnet vs Sutton United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnet
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Sutton United
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.05.2021 Barnet Barnet 2-0 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
27.04.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 1-0 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
06.08.2019 Sutton United Sutton United 1-1 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
19.02.2019 Sutton United Sutton United 0-0 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
09.02.2019 Barnet Barnet 0-1 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL

Barnet 3-3 Sutton United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnet
3-3
AWAY Sutton United
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
2 Passes 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barnet vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet and Sutton United shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Barnet at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Barnet had 67% of the ball to Sutton United's 33%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sutton United led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Barnet and 0.60 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Barnet vs Sutton United?

Barnet 3-3 Sutton United in the England - National League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnet vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Barnet 49%, draw 25%, Sutton United 26%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barnet) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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