Hull City vs Preston North End Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hull City v Preston North End — Team-Based Signals
Hull City vs Preston North End Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Preston North End
İNCL
0-0
HT 0-0
Preston North End
İNCL
0-0
HT 0-0
Hull City
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-0
Preston North End
İNCL
Hull City 2-1 Preston North End — Actual Match Statistics
Hull City edged past Preston North End 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Hull City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hull City had 44% of the ball to Preston North End's 56%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 2.27 to 1.04 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hull City's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Preston North End led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Hull City and 0.33 for Preston North End.
What was the final score of Hull City vs Preston North End?
Hull City 2-1 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hull City vs Preston North End?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hull City 43%, draw 29%, Preston North End 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hull City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.