Sunderland 0-1 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 21 Apr 2025

Sunderland
0-1 HT 0-1
Blackburn Rovers
📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Sunderland vs Blackburn Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.91
6+ Goals
11%
17.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.04
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.35
X/1
17%
4.87
X/2
6%
6.94
X/X
9%
4.38
2/1
11%
27.5
2/2
16%
5.26
2/X
9%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sunderland v Blackburn Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.26/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.26
-13% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
16.7 Crosses 13.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Sunderland vs Blackburn Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.51 xG 1.93
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
345 Passes 339
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
26.12.2024 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-2 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
01.04.2024 Sunderland Sunderland 1-5 HT 0-2 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
20.09.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-3 HT 1-2 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
26.12.2022 Sunderland Sunderland 2-1 HT 1-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
18.10.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
20.03.2012 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNP

Sunderland 0-1 Blackburn Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland
0-1
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
0.81 xG 0.30
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
428 Passes 300
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 5
39 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sunderland vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers nicked a narrow win over Sunderland 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sunderland at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sunderland had 58% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 42%, shots finished 16-2, expected goals 0.81 to 0.30 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sunderland.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackburn Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sunderland and 2.17 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Sunderland vs Blackburn Rovers?

Sunderland 0-1 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 43%, draw 28%, Blackburn Rovers 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sunderland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sunderland) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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