Sheffield Wednesday vs Middlesbrough Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sheffield Wednesday v Middlesbrough — Team-Based Signals
Sheffield Wednesday vs Middlesbrough Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
3-1
HT 1-1
Sheffield Wednesday
İNCL
2-1
HT 2-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
1-2
HT 1-1
Middlesbrough
İNCL
Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 Middlesbrough — Actual Match Statistics
Sheffield Wednesday squeezed past Middlesbrough 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Sheffield Wednesday made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Sheffield Wednesday had 45% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 55%, shots finished 25-16, expected goals 3.56 to 2.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sheffield Wednesday's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middlesbrough led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sheffield Wednesday and 2.00 for Middlesbrough.
What was the final score of Sheffield Wednesday vs Middlesbrough?
Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sheffield Wednesday vs Middlesbrough?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield Wednesday win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sheffield Wednesday 38%, draw 25%, Middlesbrough 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday) — a clean sweep of the main markets.