Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Queens Park Rangers v Swansea City — Team-Based Signals
Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Swansea City
İNCL
1-1
HT 1-0
Swansea City
İNCL
1-0
HT 1-0
Queens Park Rangers
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-0
Queens Park Rangers
İNCL
Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Swansea City — Actual Match Statistics
Swansea City squeezed past Queens Park Rangers 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Swansea City made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Queens Park Rangers had 55% of the ball to Swansea City's 45%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.29 to 1.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Swansea City's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Queens Park Rangers and 1.00 for Swansea City.
What was the final score of Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City?
Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Queens Park Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Queens Park Rangers 38%, draw 29%, Swansea City 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.