Plymouth Argyle vs Coventry Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Plymouth Argyle v Coventry — Team-Based Signals
Plymouth Argyle vs Coventry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Plymouth Argyle
İNCL
2-1
HT 0-0
Coventry
İN1
1-0
HT 1-0
Plymouth Argyle
İN1
2-0
HT 0-0
Plymouth Argyle
İNTK
Plymouth Argyle 3-1 Coventry — Actual Match Statistics
Plymouth Argyle got the better of Coventry 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Our pre-match lean was Coventry at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 27% of the ball to Coventry's 73%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 2.48 to 1.71.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coventry led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 1.83 for Coventry.
What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Coventry?
Plymouth Argyle 3-1 Coventry in the England - Championship on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Coventry?
Before kick-off our model rated an Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 29%, draw 23%, Coventry 48%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Coventry) went the other way.