Swansea City 3-0 Queens Park Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.92
6+ Goals
8%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.55
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.7
X/1
18%
4.12
X/2
9%
8.06
X/X
18%
4.53
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
14%
6.49
2/X
6%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +15%
1.61/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.31
+8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
374 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
19.6 Crosses 16.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.17 xG 0.98
59% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
455 Passes 293
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.04.2024 Swansea City Swansea City 0-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
19.09.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-1 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
21.01.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-1 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
03.09.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 1-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
07.05.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 0-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
25.01.2022 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
3-0
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.57 xG 0.43
71% Ball Possession 29%
10 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
731 Passes 248
94% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Queens Park Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City ran out comfortable winners over Queens Park Rangers 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Swansea City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Swansea City had 71% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 29%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 1.57 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queens Park Rangers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Swansea City and 0.67 for Queens Park Rangers.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Queens Park Rangers?

Swansea City 3-0 Queens Park Rangers in the England - Championship on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Queens Park Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 42%, draw 29%, Queens Park Rangers 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swansea City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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