Worksop Town 4-0 Basford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.18
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
40%
4-5
25%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Worksop Town win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
79%
-18.4pp
20%
Draw
12%
+7.9pp
19%
Away Win
8%
+10.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worksop Town EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Basford United EU Bookmakers 11%
-20% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
2.93/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.93
+18% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +14%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worksop Town
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Basford United
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.12.2024 Basford United Basford United 1-3 HT 0-0 Worksop Town Worksop Town İNGNLP
14.09.2024 Worksop Town Worksop Town 6-3 HT 3-1 Basford United Basford United FAK
01.04.2024 Basford United Basford United 3-1 HT 0-1 Worksop Town Worksop Town İNGNLP
26.12.2023 Worksop Town Worksop Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Basford United Basford United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worksop Town
4-0
AWAY Basford United
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Worksop Town vs Basford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worksop Town swept aside Basford United 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Worksop Town as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Worksop Town had 49% of the ball to Basford United's 51%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Worksop Town had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Worksop Town and 1.75 for Basford United.

What was the final score of Worksop Town vs Basford United?

Worksop Town 4-0 Basford United in the England - Non League Premier on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worksop Town vs Basford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Worksop Town 61%, draw 20%, Basford United 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worksop Town), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Worksop Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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