Thun 7-0 Wil 1900 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.0
Over Pick
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.54
2-3
36%
1.79
4-5
25%
3.16
6+
14%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.96/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.30
+0% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.3 Crosses 13.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Wil 1900
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
297 Passes 327
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2025 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 2-3 HT 0-1 Thun Thun İSV2
06.12.2024 Thun Thun 0-2 HT 0-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
23.09.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-0 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV2
20.05.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-3 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV2
09.03.2024 Thun Thun 2-1 HT 0-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
20.10.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-3 HT 0-1 Thun Thun İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
7-0
AWAY Wil 1900
2.42 xG 1.57
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
197 Passes 435
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
29 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Thun vs Wil 1900
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun swept aside Wil 1900 7-0. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Thun had 35% of the ball to Wil 1900's 65%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 2.42 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Thun and 0.83 for Wil 1900.

What was the final score of Thun vs Wil 1900?

Thun 7-0 Wil 1900 in the Switzerland Challenge League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs Wil 1900?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Thun 47%, draw 26%, Wil 1900 27%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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