Wil 1900 vs Thun Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wil 1900 v Thun — Team-Based Signals
Wil 1900 vs Thun Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Thun
İSV2
3-1
HT 1-0
Wil 1900
İSV2
Wil 1900 2-3 Thun — Actual Match Statistics
Thun nicked a narrow win over Wil 1900 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Thun found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Wil 1900 had 54% of the ball to Thun's 46%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.09 to 2.14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wil 1900 and 1.83 for Thun.
What was the final score of Wil 1900 vs Thun?
Wil 1900 2-3 Thun in the Switzerland Challenge League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wil 1900 vs Thun?
Before kick-off our model rated a Wil 1900 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Wil 1900 37%, draw 27%, Thun 36%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.