First Vienna 2-1 Lafnitz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.59
Over Pick
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
21%
5.57
2-3
35%
2.02
4-5
30%
2.52
6+
14%
5.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.82
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.55
X/1
10%
4.32
X/2
8%
12.3
X/X
15%
7.44
2/1
11%
18.75
2/2
8%
8.79
2/X
6%
17.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.75 — our 11% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.7pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.8pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME First Vienna EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.80/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.57
-17% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
Crosses 9.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME First Vienna
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Lafnitz
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 Lafnitz Lafnitz 0-1 HT 0-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
19.04.2024 First Vienna First Vienna 2-0 HT 2-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
01.10.2023 Lafnitz Lafnitz 2-3 HT 2-2 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
04.06.2023 First Vienna First Vienna 1-2 HT 1-1 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
02.09.2022 Lafnitz Lafnitz 3-0 HT 2-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
POST-MATCH First Vienna vs Lafnitz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

First Vienna squeezed past Lafnitz 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had First Vienna as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, First Vienna had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for First Vienna and 1.40 for Lafnitz.

What was the final score of First Vienna vs Lafnitz?

First Vienna 2-1 Lafnitz in the Austria - 1st Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for First Vienna vs Lafnitz?

Before kick-off our model rated a First Vienna win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split First Vienna 52%, draw 28%, Lafnitz 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (First Vienna), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (First Vienna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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