Lyseng 2-1 Avarta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyseng EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Avarta EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.39/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.66
+0% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyseng
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Avarta
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Lyseng Lyseng 3-0 Avarta Avarta DAN3
22.09.2024 Avarta Avarta 2-2 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
23.03.2024 Lyseng Lyseng 0-2 HT 0-1 Avarta Avarta DAN3
15.10.2023 Avarta Avarta 2-0 HT 0-0 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
POST-MATCH Lyseng vs Avarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyseng squeezed past Avarta 2-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Lyseng found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Avarta led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Lyseng and 1.50 for Avarta.

What was the final score of Lyseng vs Avarta?

Lyseng 2-1 Avarta in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyseng vs Avarta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avarta win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lyseng 35%, draw 26%, Avarta 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Avarta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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