Naesby 1-2 Brabrand — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Brabrand EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.68/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.87
+23% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +44%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Brabrand
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2025 Naesby Naesby 2-3 Brabrand Brabrand DAN3
29.09.2024 Brabrand Brabrand 1-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
08.05.2021 Brabrand Brabrand 1-0 HT 1-0 Naesby Naesby DAN2
29.08.2020 Naesby Naesby 2-1 HT 0-0 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
05.10.2019 Naesby Naesby 0-0 HT 0-0 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
04.10.2014 Brabrand Brabrand 2-0 HT 1-0 Naesby Naesby DAN2
POST-MATCH Naesby vs Brabrand
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brabrand nicked a narrow win over Naesby 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Brabrand found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brabrand led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Naesby and 1.33 for Brabrand.

What was the final score of Naesby vs Brabrand?

Naesby 1-2 Brabrand in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs Brabrand?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brabrand win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Naesby 32%, draw 28%, Brabrand 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brabrand), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brabrand) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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