Mixco 3-1 Xinabajul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
28%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-12.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
17%
+12.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mixco EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 20%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.11/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.91
-40% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
522 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mixco
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Xinabajul
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
17.02.2025 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-2 HT 0-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
16.09.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 3-3 HT 1-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
17.03.2024 Mixco Mixco 2-0 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
13.11.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
06.04.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
12.02.2023 Mixco Mixco 2-2 HT 1-2 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mixco
3-1
AWAY Xinabajul
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mixco vs Xinabajul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco got the better of Xinabajul 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mixco as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mixco had 48% of the ball to Xinabajul's 52%, shots finished 13-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mixco had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mixco and 1.00 for Xinabajul.

What was the final score of Mixco vs Xinabajul?

Mixco 3-1 Xinabajul in the Guatemala - National League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mixco vs Xinabajul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mixco win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mixco 47%, draw 25%, Xinabajul 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mixco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mixco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
21 Apr 2025
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