Flint 1-3 Sarpsborg 08 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over Pick
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
39%
4-5
26%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.0pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 25%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
2.10/2.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/3.48
-15% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flint
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2024 Flint Flint 5-2 HT 4-0 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II NOR4
08.04.2024 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II 0-0 HT 0-0 Flint Flint NOR4
POST-MATCH Flint vs Sarpsborg 08 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 II saw off Flint 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Flint at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Flint had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Flint and 1.00 for Sarpsborg 08 II.

What was the final score of Flint vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Flint 1-3 Sarpsborg 08 II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flint win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Flint 47%, draw 28%, Sarpsborg 08 II 26%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Flint) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flint) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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