Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 Yunnan Yukun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.49
Draw
15%
4.34
Away
14%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.37
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
26%
2.49
6+ Goals
19%
5.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1.78
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
3%
15.2
X/1
15%
4.23
X/2
4%
12.15
X/X
6%
7.21
2/1 EV+ ✓
8%
18.6
2/2
6%
8.76
2/X
6%
16.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.6 — our 8% vs market 2.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
63%
+8.3pp
15%
Draw
20%
-4.7pp
14%
Away Win
18%
-3.7pp
36%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.6pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.36/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.99
+14% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
28.1 Crosses 20.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.06 xG 1.18
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
350 Passes 235
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 1-5 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
16.04.2025 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-1 HT 1-0 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
2-1
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
3.12 xG 1.57
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
382 Passes 319
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
47 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Yunnan Yukun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao edged past Yunnan Yukun 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 54% of the ball to Yunnan Yukun's 46%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 3.12 to 1.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chengdu Qianbao's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 1.00 for Yunnan Yukun.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Yunnan Yukun?

Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 Yunnan Yukun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Yunnan Yukun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 71%, draw 15%, Yunnan Yukun 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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