Shenzhen FC 0-1 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
52%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.98
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
8.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.63
1/2
7%
21.4
1/X
5%
13.65
X/1
8%
8.04
X/2
10%
4.71
X/X
10%
5.38
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
34%
2.47
2/X
8%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
52%
Away Win
49%
+2.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.5pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 54%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.43/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.45
-11% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 81%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
21.2 Crosses 17.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shenzhen FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.79 xG 2.10
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
226 Passes 547
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.10.2025 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
10.05.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 3-1 HT 2-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
26.07.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
09.04.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-2 HT 0-1 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
04.11.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
08.07.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 5-0 HT 2-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen FC
0-1
AWAY Beijing Guoan
0.62 xG 0.54
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
193 Passes 391
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shenzhen FC vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan edged past Shenzhen FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shenzhen FC had 36% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 64%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.62 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shenzhen FC and 2.17 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Shenzhen FC vs Beijing Guoan?

Shenzhen FC 0-1 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen FC vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen FC 25%, draw 23%, Beijing Guoan 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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