Nautico vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nautico v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals
Nautico vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Nautico
BR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
2-1
HT 0-0
Nautico
BR1
3-0
HT 2-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
1-2
HT 1-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
Nautico 1-2 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics
Sao Paulo edged past Nautico 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sao Paulo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nautico had 58% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 42%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.22 to 1.58.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nautico and 1.67 for Sao Paulo.
What was the final score of Nautico vs Sao Paulo?
Nautico 1-2 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Cup on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nautico vs Sao Paulo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nautico 25%, draw 28%, Sao Paulo 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Paulo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.